The Real Estate Market Bottom-Are We There Yet?
January 6th, 2009 categories: Market Update, Tips For Buyers, Tips for Sellers
What's ahead?
I wish I could answer …we are just 2 hours away honey!!! But that’s not the case when I am asked about the real estate bottom.
We are all affected by the current real estate crisis…
A synergy (for the bad) of events caused it; a few measures from all parties affected have been taken and there is a lot of uncertainty in the near future. Every industry goes through good and bad times and you all know which one we are facing now. The good news is that sooner or later it has to end.
After the dot.com crisis investors were looking for alternatives…
And it funneled a lot of cash into Real Estate. It seemed to be a “secured asset”. Land, bricks and mortar were much more tangible than stocks and sexier than bonds. Money was available, return on investment was very attractive and it started a party of speculation where many people had too much alcohol and got short sighted. Most Banks and investors lend money to anyone willing to get a mortgage. Some Appraisers played with prices. Many buyers, real estate agents and mortgage brokers got dizzy and gambled on real estate as the forever winning slot machine.
We all suspected what was going on…
How many forged loan applications were dancing as the band played. How many people cheated on basic personal finance principles? How many promises of eternal love and richness were told and believed? Everyone was doing it so it must have been right…..But as every party, even the best, ends one day…. and we are supposed to leave with good or bad memories depending on how we decided to enjoy it. That was not the case in this one. When the party was over a caravan of cars left the place with drunk drivers in front of the wheel. The sad part is that even if we just drank water …. all got involved in the accident caused by drivers under influence. The crash left behind blood and tears.
The good news is that the market in South Florida is showing some interesting signs
Inventories have decreased: Miami-Dade County in 6.1% and Broward County in 13.8%
Closed Sales have increased: Miami-Dade County in 40.6% and Broward County in 48.3%
Pending Sales have increased: Miami-Dade County in 75.5% and Broward County in 51.6%
What is really going on?
We all wonder….Should I sell now? Should I buy now?
Even though I don’t like attorney’s answers and I prefer the ones in black and white I would respond…..It depends!
If you plan to stay in your home for a few years and you can find a fair deal…it’s your time to buy. Most of us stay in our houses even knowing prices might still go down because our roof is our home and not a short term money machine.
If you need to sell in the near future ….you better sell now; at the best price you can realistically get (not what you want or need). If you are upside down I would advice you to talk to an attorney, an accountant and an honest Real Estate Agent to help you fully understand the potential consequences of a short sale.
Getting to our destination will take a trip on an uncertain and bumpy path with many unforeseen events. Even thou it may not be that easy since there is too much debris on the road; when we get there we will look back and be happy for all we learned from it.
